Hound

The Edge (MLB)

VerifiedHouse Model

Hound House Models · MLB · Moneyline

MLBMoneylineEdge
Free to follow

Estimates each team's win probability from the model, strips the vig out of the moneyline, and fires only when our number beats the market's by 5+ points. It passes most slates on purpose — the restraint is the edge.

Units-31.3
ROI-16.8%
Record60-126
CLV-0.3% · 37% beat close
Win %32.3%
Graded picks186

Cumulative units

Pick history

Every pick was timestamped and locked before its game started. Graded results below are the verified record — they can never be edited.

Every number is computed from locked, graded picks — never typed in. Last graded run: 9/20/2026, 1:11 PM.

Showing 1–25 of 189 graded picks

DateMatchupPickOddsResultUnits
9/22/2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies ML+162Pending—
9/22/2026Miami Marlins @ Chicago CubsMiami Marlins ML+178Pending—
9/20/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets7–2New York Mets ML+141loss-1.00
9/19/2026San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–10San Francisco Giants ML+273loss-1.00
9/18/2026San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–8San Francisco Giants ML+248loss-1.00
9/17/2026Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays1–10Athletics ML+232loss-1.00
9/16/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals3–0Washington Nationals ML+161loss-1.00
9/16/2026San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals6–5San Francisco Giants ML+139win+1.39
9/15/2026Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels1–2Los Angeles Angels ML+141win+1.41
9/15/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals3–6Washington Nationals ML+177win+1.77
9/15/2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates5–1Pittsburgh Pirates ML+213loss-1.00
9/15/2026Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays1–2Athletics ML+188loss-1.00
9/15/2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds4–0Cincinnati Reds ML+195loss-1.00
9/11/2026San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants7–5San Francisco Giants ML+123loss-1.00
9/11/2026Seattle Mariners @ Athletics5–6Athletics ML+138win+1.38
9/11/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves5–6Philadelphia Phillies ML+157loss-1.00
9/11/2026Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays1–3Houston Astros ML+144loss-1.00
9/11/2026Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox3–2Kansas City Royals ML+169win+1.69
9/11/2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins6–2Miami Marlins ML+170loss-1.00
9/11/2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs2–12Pittsburgh Pirates ML+154loss-1.00
9/10/2026Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees3–10Colorado Rockies ML+270loss-1.00
9/10/2026Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies2–1Houston Astros ML+157win+1.57
9/9/2026Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers1–14Cincinnati Reds ML+232loss-1.00
9/9/2026Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees1–6Colorado Rockies ML+202loss-1.00
9/9/2026Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox6–4Los Angeles Angels ML+177win+1.77
9/9/2026Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners2–3Texas Rangers ML+129loss-1.00
9/8/2026Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–3Cincinnati Reds ML+266loss-1.00

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